Prediction of End-Use Energy Consumption in a Region of Northwest China
YANG Xing1,2, KANG Hui1, NIU Dongxiao1†1. School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China; 2. State Grid Qinghai Electric Power Company, Xining 810008, Qinghai, China
End-use energy consumption can reflect the industrial development of a country and the living standards of its residents. The study of end-use energy consumption can provide a solid basis for industrial restructuring, energy saving, and emission reduction. In this paper, we analyzed the end-use energy consumption of a region in Northwestern China, and applied the Markov prediction method to forecast the future demand of different types of end-use energy. This provides a reference for the energy structure optimization in the Northwestern China.
Key words: end-use energy consumption; Markov model; transition probability matrix; energy consumption forecast
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